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College.. # of Picks VAE Rank ROI Rank


LSU............... 112 +39.5 1 +15.7% 7

Pittsburgh....... 100 +38.2 2 +16.9% 6

Miami (FL)...... 168 +36.9 3 +8.6% 12

Georgia.......... 109 +32.3 4 +13.9% 9

Virginia............ 70 +27.3 5 +18.8% 5

UCLA..............126 +27.0 6 +9.7% 10

Purdue............. 91 +26.7 7 +14.7% 8

Louisville........... 45 +25.7 8 +28.9% 1

Georgia Tech..... 53 +22.5 9 +22.7% 2

Texas A&M...... 128 +21.2 10 +7.6% 15

Arizona State... 114 +20.6 11 +8.2% 13

Jackson State.... 39 +19.7 12 +22.6 3

S. Mississippi.... 40 +14.4 13 +20.5% 4

San Diego State. 80 +12.6 14 +8.0% 14

Oklahoma State.. 51 +11.0 15 +9.5% 11

Maryland............ 68 +10.7 16 +7.4% 16

Auburn.............. 106 +9.8 17 +4.1% 19

North Carolina..... 92 +7.7 18 +3.8% 21

Boston College.... 78 +7.3 19 +4.5% 18

Syracuse............ 73 +7.2 20 +4.6% 17

Missouri.............. 61 +4.7 21 +3.9% 20



VAE - Value Above Expectation
ROI - Return On Investment



In contrast to Miami's slew of household names, LSU boasts less-heralded picks that produced at least +3.0 VAE. I mentioned the impeccably named Tommy Casanova last week (+6.1 VAE, +189.3% ROI), but first on the Tigers' list is a running back who had one of the best three-year stretches of the salary cap era.

Domanick Williams (nee Davis), selected 101st in 2003 by the Houston Texans, gained at least 1,300 yards from scrimmage in each of his three seasons, good for 8.5 Adjusted CarAV/Yr. Another blast from the past is wide receiver
Eric Martin (+6.3, +562.5%), who the New Orleans Saints took at No. 179 in 1985. To this day, and despite the team's pass offense exploits over the past two decades, Martin still holds the franchise record for receptions and receiving yards.

This post was edited on 4/26 1:39 AM by Gabriel's Bengal


Link: Football Outsiders4/25 5:59 AM | IP: Logged
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